Governments should not have become the enforcement arm of narrow focused bureaucratic technocrats who are always gazing into their crystal ball models to predict the future. Many times the number of confirmed cases may already have been exposed to the virus and are not prone to catch it. If many more people were exposed to the virus than the confirmed cases suggest, the death rates from the virus are way overblown. I think that has been proven on the ships and in the cities and towns where the virus was everywhere but only a minority got sick from it. A good percentage of those in hot spots may never get sick from the virus at all for one reason or another. Counting only the sick people says little about the virus spread.
Sick people are mostly the ones now being tested. That is probably because a good percentage of people in that location became exposed to the virus no matter if they got ill from the virus or not. The virus appears to rapidly spread though an area and then burn itself out in a couple of months. Shutting everything down and locking people in their houses slows the spread but the economic impact could prove fatal to many national economies. Slowing the spread or flattening the curve is just an exercise in pushing off the majority of infections until a latter date. Governments all over the world ignored the virus and only acknowledged the threat after the virus became too widespread to stop. This may take a couple of years to fully play out, but it will turn out to have a far greater negative impact on nations than anything the virus would have caused without the government intervention. Because of all the shutdowns, the world is about to be hit with the worst global economic crises it has ever encountered. Just a month later governments all over the world began shutting down everything to stop the virus spread. In late February I was warning that the coronavirus hitting Wuhan China could cause an economic downturn that could impact Trump’s election chances.
What a change less than two months has wrought on our nation and on the world.